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Thread: US Airline Traffic at 5-Yr Low but with record load factors


  1. #1
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    Default US Airline Traffic at 5-Yr Low but with record load factors

    Not great news for nonrev folks...hopefully fares go back up so that the pressure to fill the planes to 80+% average load factors comes down.

    Anyone else remember the joys of flying nonrev when average load factors were around 70%?

    Here's a great chart I pulled from an mit study on load factors.

    Average Load Factors for U.S. Airlines, 1995-2008

    Code:
    1995   1996   1997   1998   1999   2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008       
      67%    70%   71%    71%     71%   73%    70%    72%    74%    76%    79%    80%    81%    80%          
    The story below seems to indicate that the trend is continuing upwards, with 2009 coming in at 81.1%.


    U.S. airline traffic hit a five-year low for all of 2009, but planes were fuller than ever, the Department of Transportation said Thursday, as airlines slashed capacity amid 2008's record fuel costs and sliding demand amid the recession.
    Meanwhile, the industry carried 0.6% fewer passengers in December than a year earlier, returning to a decline after November's year-on-year increase snapped 18 straight months of slumping traffic, the DOT's Bureau of Transportation Statistics noted.
    Travelers have slowly started returning to the skies, and some airlines are adding flights to meet the rekindled demand.
    For December, airlines carried 57 million passengers while load factor--a measure of plane fullness--hit 80.4%, a record high for the month. Capacity fell 2.7%.
    For all of 2009, traffic fell 5.3% to 703.9 million. Load factor was 80.4% for the entire system and 81.1% for domestic flights, both record highs.


  • #2
    NonRev Correspondent vulindlela's Avatar
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    It's not only that the load factors were lower back then, it was the fact that we had big aircraft.

    I can remember when you could fly an L-1011 or a 747 between LAS and PHX.
    There was an AA 767 between LAS and LAX. Lots of heavies between the hubs.
    Pretty much all Hawaii flights were 747, DC-10, L-1011, or 767 and now you're lucky to get on a 757.
    NW flew DC-10s from SEA to MSP and a 747 from PHX to MSP.
    There are so many other examples...
    I really miss those days...
    Vulindlela - Senior NonRev Correspondent - Indianapolis


  • #3
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    So true. For some unknown reason Delta insists on flying dc 9s out of dca and they go weight critical everyday. So not only are they full but you have to pull 20 pax offf with nowhere to rebook them.

  • #4
    Administrator Migflanker's Avatar
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    Uh-huh, flights are so tight that if there's any kind of a "blip" the system can't absorb the excess passengers. Not to mention high loads and check bag fees mean, s-l-o-w boarding, chock full overheads and more pax squished in middle seats. Add security lines and pay as you go snacks and gone are the days of enjoyable air travel.
    TWA L-1011 commercial, advertising comfortable seats & steak in coach, imagine that. YouTube - TWA 1977 TV Commercial for the L-1011
    Last edited by Migflanker; 13-Mar-2010 at 01:37 PM.
    Keep'em Flying

    Migflanker - Senior NonRev Correspondent - Los Angeles

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    just posted today on FL's web site load factor was 82% for april 2010... FL out of TPA averages 92% day-to-day, with peak travel times load factors of 100%!!! non-rev out of TPA on FL is almost nonexistant... i tell our non-revs that i work for FL so i can fly WN... *LOL*

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